It may not be a topic being openly discussed at Expo, but some managers with French real estate expertise are speculating over the fate of a large industry with the potential for billions in euros of forced sales.
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Tom Leahy, MSCI Real Assets' head of EMEA research, believes it is too soon to forecast a sustained recovery in sales of commercial buildings after central banks signalled in past weeks that they are almost done with raising interest rates.
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German lender Hamburg Commercial Bank is taking a ‘safety first’ approach to lending, according to Michael Windoffer, head of commercial real estate international clients, in an interview with PropertyEU at Expo Real.
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European property investors are facing a double whammy of injecting fresh equity into assets due to refinancing issues and bringing assets up to standard to meet strict ESG regulations – which could spell a liquidity shock in the future.
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Universal Investment’s 12th annual survey of German institutional investors suggests that an increased focus beyond Europe could be on the cards.
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The German development and construction sector is likely to feel further pain, with the risk of more bankruptcies on the cards, according to Pepijn Morshuis, CEO of retail and residential specialist Trei Real Estate.
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'The sentiment at Expo Real this year is better than I expected,’ said Karim Rochdi, founder and managing partner of German owner-operated investment manager Aventos. 'That said, there's definitely a sense that we’re going through tougher times, even if the market is functioning.’
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The real estate industry is facing a number of challenges, but there is also a sense of optimism and determination to find solutions, Felix Gold, managing director of German investor-developer DIEAG Investment Management, told PropertyEU at Expo Real in Munich.
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If Day One of Expo Real 2023 saw delegates pour enthusiastically into Munich’s fairgrounds, it was hard to say how much actual business they expected to do with dealmaking at an all-time low.
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The City of London Corporation has sent its first-ever delegation to Expo Real as part of a strategy to attract new investment into the City, by showcasing the Square Mile’s sustainable development opportunities.
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German-listed real estate company Branicks Group has sold a retail property in Bremen city centre to municipal urban developer Brestadt for €37.2 mln.
